Análisis y cuantificación de tendencias de temperatura por diferentes métodos en la región central de Sinaloa, México
Palabras clave:
Cambio climático, temperatura, Sinaloa, métodos, cuantificación.Resumen
Las tendencias anuales de temperatura han sido ampliamente usadas para describir el impacto del cambio climático. Con base en datos diarios de temperatura de seis estaciones del centro de Sinaloa, México, se calcularon promedios anuales de temperatura, número de días con rangos de temperatura, estaciones de invierno y verano; se estimaron promedios de variables del primer y último cuarto de datos. Se cuantificó la variación de temperaturas entre estaciones y sus tendencias con el método Mann-Kendall. Se realizaron análisis multivariados en los cuartos de datos. Se detectaron tendencias positivas de temperaturas medias, días con temperaturas altas y de días de verano, tendencias negativas para reducción de días con temperaturas bajas y de días de invierno. Los análisis multivariados describieron homogeneización de estaciones urbanas. Las frecuencias de días dentro de rangos de temperatura y la estacionalidad son relevantes en la descripción de la variación de temperaturas y sus tendencias.
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